geraz
0x415dc8791a1b432bd0077f26da51907b2fa0a37c
- Realised P&L
- $-240.29
- Volume
- $45.5k
- Markets traded
- 256
- Open portfolio
- $0.01
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded256
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ararat-Armenia FA vs. AC Sparta Praha: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.547 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$8.19 |
| AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.210 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$2.10 |
| Hamburger SV vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.75 |
| FC Schalke 04 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.526 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$68.44 |
| Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 4.5 · Over | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.05 |
| SV 07 Elversberg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.485 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$38.80 |
| Frosinone Calcio vs. Venezia FC: O/U 4.5 · Under | 0.702 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.57 |
| Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance · Australia | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.10 |
| Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.482 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.29 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$261.89at 0.345Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$233.90at 0.492FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5
- +$208.04at 0.279Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?
- +$67.27at 0.603Parma Calcio 1913 vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5
- +$65.83at 0.347Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-05?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 18:36 | Club Atlético de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 4.5 | SELL | 0.15 | $1.50 |
| 09-16 18:08 | Ararat-Armenia FA vs. AC Sparta Praha: O/U 4.5 | SELL | 0.69 | $6.90 |
| 09-16 17:03 | Club Atlético de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.63 | $6.30 |
| 09-16 16:53 | AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6 | $6.00 |
| 09-16 16:48 | Ararat-Armenia FA vs. AC Sparta Praha: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.67 | $6.70 |
| 09-15 20:07 | Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.29 | $7.25 |
| 09-15 20:06 | Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5 | SELL | 0.43 | $10.75 |
| 09-15 19:51 | Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 09-15 19:33 | Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 09-14 19:21 | FC Internazionale Milano vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 4.5 | SELL | 0.92 | $18.40 |
| 09-14 18:49 | FC Internazionale Milano vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.27 | $5.40 |
| 09-14 18:48 | FC Internazionale Milano vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $10.80 |
| 09-14 18:07 | Torino FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.09 | $0.90 |
| 09-14 18:07 | Torino FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.56 | $5.60 |
| 09-14 17:54 | Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.1 | $1.00 |