PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

danaschroeder

0x415d14ba09097527b61668162468cccf9ef55aa3

Realised P&L
$-16.15
Volume
$11.5k
Markets traded
78
Open portfolio
$71.76

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded78
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration65.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration89.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? · No0.8300.997$63.83+$10.69
Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2? · Yes0.8100.775$7.93−$0.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 06:45Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?BUY0.8299999787$26.88
01-31 14:41Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January?BUY0.998$11.92
01-30 12:39Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY0.999$6.06
01-30 12:34Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in January?BUY0.999$11.86
01-30 12:04Will Opendoor reach $11.50 in January?BUY0.999$31.68
12-30 09:16Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31?BUY0.999$10.19
12-29 22:39Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in 2025?BUY0.998$6.61
12-29 22:36Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?BUY0.9929999999$6.95
12-29 22:32Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025?BUY0.999$24.01
12-29 21:27Xi Jinping out in 2025?BUY0.9969999728$14.80
10-31 00:31Will XRP reach $3.40 in October?BUY0.999$11.41
10-30 23:37Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?BUY0.99$15.92
10-30 19:25Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?BUY0.9889999996$18.11
09-29 11:09Will Solana reach $270 in September?BUY0.999$14.01
09-28 21:54Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?BUY0.9979999745$14.38