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Traders

Toncar16

0x41583f2efc720b8e2682750fffb67f2806fece9f

Realised P&L
$119.9k
Volume
$4.52M
Markets traded
1,744
Open portfolio
$2.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,744
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 14:13Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?BUY0.3712122913$300.00
10-02 12:19Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?SELL0.35$174.54
10-02 11:33Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?BUY0.3259677161$162.56
10-01 08:33KAA Gent vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 9.5 Total CornersSELL0.993$993.00
10-01 07:52US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?BUY0.07$60.85
09-30 12:18US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?SELL0.0134934033$18.60
09-30 12:05US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?BUY0.18$295.50
09-30 12:04US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?BUY0.1510813151$59.33
09-30 12:04US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?SELL0.0041728314$19.93
09-30 11:49US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.0172147411$23.73
09-29 11:22Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?SELL0.1$68.10
09-29 06:16Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by September 30?SELL0.0298657102$20.82
09-28 20:16Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?SELL0.399713375$319.77
09-28 16:19Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.5316666667$15.95
09-28 14:44Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.5051451643$760.69
Trader Toncar16 · PolyBot Pro