dnlgrzn
0x4156a1a308cf2497880149461381875f2bf96756
- Realised P&L
- $-3.8k
- Volume
- $30.5k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $515.22
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.112 | 0.100 | $515.22 | −$63.11 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes | 0.235 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.4k |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? · Yes | 0.268 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.0k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.539Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 00:55 | Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.112250841 | $578.34 |
| 05-23 13:46 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5954963259 | $954.82 |
| 05-21 02:49 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4936459594 | $973.55 |
| 01-11 00:50 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.2399999999 | $1000.00 |
| 01-11 00:50 | Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | BUY | 0.2654718277 | $997.51 |
| 01-10 21:45 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $490.57 |
| 01-10 21:37 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $982.26 |
| 01-10 20:35 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.2099999998 | $894.31 |
| 01-09 19:12 | Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | BUY | 0.2699999999 | $999.49 |