0x4150f068ac6056b85d318daf8eb8a6541c700d60
0x4150f068ac6056b85d318daf8eb8a6541c700d60
- Realised P&L
- $-9.38
- Volume
- $197.21
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $2.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lam Research (LRCX) Q1 total revenue be above $8.5B? · No | 0.720 | 0.825 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15? · Up | 0.340 | 0.310 | $0.91 | −$0.09 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.085 | $0.24 | −$0.76 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.23at 0.237Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$3.22at 0.410SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23?
- +$2.84at 0.440Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$2.01at 0.520US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$1.74at 0.560Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 06:00 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 22:00 | Will Lam Research (LRCX) Q1 total revenue be above $8.5B? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 01:02 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 04:00 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 19:59 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 11:42 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 03:06 | Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 11:44 | Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 01:17 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 17:16 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $182.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 20:10 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 00:10 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 15:30 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:40 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 05:42 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |