PolyBot

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Traders

0x4150Aec06cDF94A3f271F1764DfB06407843Ab98-1766813307123

0x4150aec06cdf94a3f271f1764dfb06407843ab98

Realised P&L
$-93.27
Volume
$12.3k
Markets traded
395
Open portfolio
$105.07

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded395
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration55.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026? · Yes0.6201.000$36.10+$13.72
Will Eric Jones win the CA-04 House seat? · Yes0.1600.455$20.84+$13.51
Will American Express (AXP) Q2 total revenue net of interest expense be above $20.25B? · No0.8401.000$20.00+$3.20
Will Eric Jones win the CA-04 House seat? · No0.8000.545$10.90−$5.10
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.8201.000$5.85+$1.05
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8300.977$5.79+$0.87
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026? · No0.3600.153$2.13−$2.87
Will the Kulmiye Party (Peace, Unity, and Development Party) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election? · No0.9891.000$1.74+$0.02
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? · Yes0.7900.957$1.72+$0.30
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election? · No0.0800.000$0.00−$1.96
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the first round by 2–4%? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$2.00
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 14.5m and 16m? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00−$4.78
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 46°F or higher on January 6? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00−$1.99
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025? · Yes0.0580.000$0.00−$1.16
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? · No0.3100.000$0.00−$1.79

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-01 00:03Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.22$1.91
06-01 00:03Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.229999916$2.00
06-01 00:00Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.77$2.05
05-29 09:50Will Trump say "Bahrain" this week?SELL0.02$0.05
05-28 22:00Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?SELL0.22$0.49
05-27 22:30Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?BUY0.8899999555$2.00
05-27 11:44Will Trump say "Bahrain" this week?BUY0.77$2.00
05-26 19:33Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.7499997187$2.00
05-26 05:24Will there be fewer than 2 North Korea tests in May 2026?SELL0.35$0.85
05-26 05:20Will there be fewer than 2 North Korea tests in May 2026?BUY0.8199999836$2.00
05-26 03:14Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?SELL0.78$1.61
05-26 00:07Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?BUY0.99$2.00
05-25 23:22Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?BUY0.98$2.00
05-25 22:01Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?BUY0.99$2.00
05-25 13:40Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?SELL0.87$2.09