0x4150Aec06cDF94A3f271F1764DfB06407843Ab98-1766813307123
0x4150aec06cdf94a3f271f1764dfb06407843ab98
- Realised P&L
- $-93.27
- Volume
- $12.3k
- Markets traded
- 395
- Open portfolio
- $105.07
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded395
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.65at 0.140Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
- +$30.55at 0.060Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?
- +$26.00at 0.194Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
- +$18.22at 0.060Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?
- +$17.82at 0.100Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-01 00:03 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.22 | $1.91 |
| 06-01 00:03 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.229999916 | $2.00 |
| 06-01 00:00 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.77 | $2.05 |
| 05-29 09:50 | Will Trump say "Bahrain" this week? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.05 |
| 05-28 22:00 | Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31? | SELL | 0.22 | $0.49 |
| 05-27 22:30 | Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31? | BUY | 0.8899999555 | $2.00 |
| 05-27 11:44 | Will Trump say "Bahrain" this week? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 05-26 19:33 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.7499997187 | $2.00 |
| 05-26 05:24 | Will there be fewer than 2 North Korea tests in May 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $0.85 |
| 05-26 05:20 | Will there be fewer than 2 North Korea tests in May 2026? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $2.00 |
| 05-26 03:14 | Will Trump say "Uranium" this week? | SELL | 0.78 | $1.61 |
| 05-26 00:07 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.00 |
| 05-25 23:22 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15? | BUY | 0.98 | $2.00 |
| 05-25 22:01 | Will Trump say "Uranium" this week? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.00 |
| 05-25 13:40 | Will Trump say "Uranium" this week? | SELL | 0.87 | $2.09 |