WagnerDias
0x414f5e908952ce94fbcdfabf2d52ec8a4591e472
- Realised P&L
- $-52.47
- Volume
- $12.6k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $357.18
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration42.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armenia vs. Montenegro: O/U 4.5 · Over | 0.490 | 1.000 | $357.18 | +$182.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.42at 0.105Will Norway win on 2026-09-27?
- +$22.80at 0.836Norway vs. Portugal: O/U 3.5
- +$17.51at 0.915Will Norway win on 2026-09-27?
- +$4.17at 0.870Will Armenia win on 2026-09-28?
- +$0.77at 0.886Will Wales win on 2026-09-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 17:32 | Armenia vs. Montenegro: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $15.61 |
| 09-28 17:32 | Armenia vs. Montenegro: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $50.00 |
| 09-28 17:11 | Will Armenia win on 2026-09-28? | SELL | 0.06 | $6.48 |
| 09-28 17:10 | Armenia vs. Montenegro: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.29 | $25.00 |
| 09-28 17:07 | Will Armenia win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.96 |
| 09-28 16:38 | Will Armenia win on 2026-09-28? | SELL | 0.87 | $9.85 |
| 09-28 16:24 | Will Armenia win on 2026-09-28? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 09-28 16:15 | Will Armenia win on 2026-09-28? | SELL | 0.32 | $16.64 |
| 09-28 16:14 | Will Armenia win on 2026-09-28? | SELL | 0.31 | $37.51 |
| 09-27 20:30 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-27? | SELL | 0.9552275002 | $209.94 |
| 09-27 20:14 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.91 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 20:14 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.91 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 20:12 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-27? | SELL | 0.1 | $4.21 |
| 09-27 20:11 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-27? | SELL | 0.9 | $62.10 |
| 09-27 20:11 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.1 | $4.21 |