PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4148Fc19F7543cBF0944FACB32d464A8D3Be424F-1775630725878

0x4148fc19f7543cbf0944facb32d464a8d3be424f

Realised P&L
$-5.10
Volume
$3.4k
Markets traded
156
Open portfolio
$75.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded156
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Kansas Republican perform worst among these tossup Senate races? · Yes0.3650.483$12.07+$2.95
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in October? · Yes0.2300.395$9.88+$4.13
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 300,000 and 350,000? · Yes0.1800.420$8.82+$5.04
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 350,000 and 400,000? · Yes0.3990.401$8.42+$0.04
Will the Nebraska Republican perform worst among these tossup Senate races? · Yes0.3100.315$7.88+$0.13
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in October? · Yes0.2100.185$4.63−$0.63
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October? · Yes0.2220.175$4.38−$1.18
Will the Iowa Republican perform worst among these tossup Senate races? · Yes0.3200.160$4.00−$4.00
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in October? · Yes0.0840.147$3.69+$1.59
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 400,000 and 450,000? · Yes0.2000.170$3.57−$0.63
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in October? · Yes0.1130.104$3.03−$0.26
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be less than 250,000? · Yes0.0920.071$1.50−$0.43
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be 450,000 or more? · Yes0.0700.046$0.98−$0.49
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 250,000 and 300,000? · Yes0.0520.040$0.84−$0.25
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 58.0 and 58.9 in October? · Yes0.0020.006$0.79+$0.52

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 14:39Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in October?BUY0.119$1.07
10-30 14:39Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?BUY0.23$1.15
10-30 07:51Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?BUY0.22$4.40
10-30 06:44Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in October?BUY0.111$2.22
10-30 06:44Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in October?BUY0.21$5.25
10-30 06:44Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be below 51.0 in October?BUY0.002$0.38
10-30 06:44Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in October?BUY0.23$5.75
10-30 06:44Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be at least 59.0 in October?BUY0.047$1.18
10-30 06:44Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 51.0 and 51.9 in October?BUY0.053$1.32
10-30 06:44Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 58.0 and 58.9 in October?BUY0.002$0.26
10-30 06:44Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 57.0 and 57.9 in October?BUY0.002$0.10
10-30 06:44Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in October?BUY0.084$2.10
10-29 05:24Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 250,000 and 300,000?BUY0.052$1.09
10-29 05:24Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 400,000 and 450,000?BUY0.2$4.20
10-29 05:24Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 350,000 and 400,000?BUY0.399$8.38