0x41489Af51C769C2f22e55e1C8FEBFF70B59eda97-1779616115797
0x41489af51c769c2f22e55e1c8febff70b59eda97
- Realised P&L
- $-1.54
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $13.70
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.22at 0.485Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
- +$6.25at 0.567Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 5?
- +$5.86at 0.582Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 5?
- +$3.65at 0.645Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?
- +$3.38at 0.550Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 06:58 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.27 | $2.70 |
| 10-01 06:58 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.23 | $2.30 |
| 10-01 03:28 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.80 |
| 10-01 03:22 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.18 | $3.60 |
| 10-01 03:16 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 08-04 07:30 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.04 |
| 08-04 07:28 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.10 |
| 08-04 01:23 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.24 |
| 06-07 10:04 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 7? | BUY | 0.51 | $7.65 |
| 06-05 08:16 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 5? | BUY | 0.5544554311 | $8.00 |
| 06-05 04:27 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 5? | BUY | 0.5699999986 | $8.00 |
| 06-04 10:33 | Will Pasquale Del Prete win the 2026 Frattamaggiore mayoral election? | BUY | 0.5299999907 | $8.00 |
| 06-04 10:29 | Will Giuseppe Tortora win the 2026 Pompei mayoral election? | BUY | 0.4399999736 | $8.00 |
| 05-29 18:29 | Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $13.64 |
| 05-24 10:13 | Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? | BUY | 0.4851485117 | $20.00 |