PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x41489Af51C769C2f22e55e1C8FEBFF70B59eda97-1779616115797

0x41489af51c769c2f22e55e1c8febff70b59eda97

Realised P&L
$-1.54
Volume
$1.4k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$13.70

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration52.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 06:58Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on October 2?BUY0.27$2.70
10-01 06:58Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 2?BUY0.23$2.30
10-01 03:28Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on October 1?BUY0.28$2.80
10-01 03:22Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on October 2?BUY0.18$3.60
10-01 03:16Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on October 2?BUY0.17$1.70
08-04 07:30Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 5?BUY0.003$0.04
08-04 07:28Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 5?BUY0.003$0.10
08-04 01:23Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 5?BUY0.003$0.24
06-07 10:04Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 7?BUY0.51$7.65
06-05 08:16Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 5?BUY0.5544554311$8.00
06-05 04:27Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 5?BUY0.5699999986$8.00
06-04 10:33Will Pasquale Del Prete win the 2026 Frattamaggiore mayoral election?BUY0.5299999907$8.00
06-04 10:29Will Giuseppe Tortora win the 2026 Pompei mayoral election?BUY0.4399999736$8.00
05-29 18:29Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?SELL0.88$13.64
05-24 10:13Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?BUY0.4851485117$20.00