0x4147512929054c006cec3e4fef3ec757b803a23f
0x4147512929054c006cec3e4fef3ec757b803a23f
- Realised P&L
- $25.37
- Volume
- $127.02
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $22.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar20.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration36.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chengdu Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Adrian Mannarino · Adrian Mannarino | 0.500 | 0.395 | $10.13 | −$2.69 |
| Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Botic van de Zandschulp · Botic van de Zandschulp | 0.610 | 0.605 | $9.76 | −$0.08 |
| Genoa 2: Lukas Neumayer vs Luka Mikrut · Lukas Neumayer | 0.500 | 0.365 | $2.74 | −$1.01 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · St. Louis Cardinals | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.32at 0.412Buenos Aires 2: Franco Roncadelli vs Pedro Boscardin Dias
- +$14.05at 0.500Buenos Aires 2: Federico Coria vs Eduardo Ribeiro
- +$9.35at 0.524St. Tropez: Andrea Guerrieri vs Jesper de Jong
- +$0.90at 0.500San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Sebastian Gorzny
- +$0.80at 0.500Hawai'i vs. Wyoming
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 19:15 | Buenos Aires 2: Federico Coria vs Eduardo Ribeiro | SELL | 0.999 | $28.12 |
| 09-24 18:50 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.4599999531 | $1.96 |
| 09-24 18:50 | Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Botic van de Zandschulp | BUY | 0.6099999826 | $9.84 |
| 09-24 18:44 | St. Tropez: Andrea Guerrieri vs Jesper de Jong | SELL | 0.999 | $19.69 |
| 09-24 18:00 | St. Tropez: Andrea Guerrieri vs Jesper de Jong | BUY | 0.52 | $7.70 |
| 09-24 17:59 | San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Sebastian Gorzny | SELL | 0.58 | $7.73 |
| 09-24 17:55 | Hawai'i vs. Wyoming | SELL | 0.58 | $5.80 |
| 09-24 17:45 | Buenos Aires 2: Franco Roncadelli vs Pedro Boscardin Dias | SELL | 0.999 | $24.37 |
| 09-24 16:45 | Buenos Aires 2: Franco Roncadelli vs Pedro Boscardin Dias | BUY | 0.4 | $9.76 |