Blued
0x41443e7f033f300c0029c764589aa0a48d9c06ee
- Realised P&L
- $-6.27
- Volume
- $23.2k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $14.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? · Yes | 0.980 | 0.987 | $5.03 | +$0.04 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16? · Yes | 0.970 | 0.978 | $4.99 | +$0.04 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17? · Yes | 0.932 | 0.958 | $4.89 | +$0.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.50at 0.500Pelicans vs. 76ers
- +$5.09at 0.500Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?
- +$1.48at 0.710Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?
- +$0.77at 0.850Will Israel strike Gaza on December 2?
- +$0.71at 0.860Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 01:03 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17? | BUY | 0.932 | $4.75 |
| 10-15 01:03 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.95 |
| 10-15 01:02 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 04:36 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.977 | $4.98 |
| 09-13 04:36 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.71 | $3.62 |
| 08-28 02:32 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 08-28 02:30 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.969 | $0.58 |
| 08-28 02:30 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.95 |
| 08-28 02:29 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.985 | $5.02 |
| 08-12 15:39 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.84 |
| 08-12 15:39 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.974 | $4.97 |
| 08-12 15:38 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $5.17 |
| 07-24 14:12 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24? | BUY | 0.976 | $4.98 |
| 07-24 14:11 | Iran full airspace closure by July 24? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.95 |
| 07-24 14:11 | Israel closes its airspace by July 24? | BUY | 0.966 | $4.93 |