PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

6698sxa

0x4142f9cca1267c507392ca405ce44004b24bf636

Realised P&L
$15.95
Volume
$429.22
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$4.24

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2027? · Yes0.6800.685$2.01+$0.01
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.6500.530$1.63−$0.37
Will Hyperliquid reach $110 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5430.155$0.45−$1.14
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0070.001$0.14−$1.86
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00−$1.72
Nets vs. Kings · Nets0.3200.000$0.00−$2.71
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? · Yes0.3270.000$0.00−$1.18
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.6400.000$0.00−$2.58
Magic vs. Heat · Heat0.6000.000$0.00−$2.44
Kraken vs. Avalanche · Kraken0.3700.000$0.00−$1.12
Kings vs. Avalanche · Kings0.3170.000$0.00−$1.77
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? · No0.8200.000$0.00−$2.77
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers · Detroit Tigers0.5900.000$0.00−$2.02
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$2.73
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? · No0.4300.000$0.00−$1.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 15:31Will Hyperliquid reach $110 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.542662116$1.59
08-29 18:18Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6199998784$1.02
08-23 11:46Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by June 30, 2027?BUY0.6499999025$2.00
08-23 10:36Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2027?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
08-23 10:36Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2027?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
08-08 07:27Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.64$2.58
06-27 18:51Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.4299999164$1.80
06-23 14:49Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.5799998763$1.50
06-21 14:57Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.6499999446$1.76
05-19 13:26Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?BUY0.5329998454$1.42
05-17 13:11Iran closes its airspace by May 31?BUY0.3599999247$1.72
05-16 12:39Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.5899999707$1.61
05-15 09:41Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay RaysBUY0.5499999345$1.68
05-10 16:54Pistons vs. CavaliersBUY0.6$1.63
05-07 11:26Hurricanes vs. FlyersBUY0.6099999043$2.23