6698sxa
0x4142f9cca1267c507392ca405ce44004b24bf636
- Realised P&L
- $15.95
- Volume
- $429.22
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $4.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.54at 0.148Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
- +$3.56at 0.349Capitals vs. Sabres
- +$2.43at 0.479Pistons vs. Heat
- +$1.89at 0.726Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
- +$1.61at 0.480Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 15:31 | Will Hyperliquid reach $110 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.542662116 | $1.59 |
| 08-29 18:18 | Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998784 | $1.02 |
| 08-23 11:46 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |
| 08-23 10:36 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 08-23 10:36 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 07:27 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.58 |
| 06-27 18:51 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.4299999164 | $1.80 |
| 06-23 14:49 | Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.5799998763 | $1.50 |
| 06-21 14:57 | Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.6499999446 | $1.76 |
| 05-19 13:26 | Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k? | BUY | 0.5329998454 | $1.42 |
| 05-17 13:11 | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | BUY | 0.3599999247 | $1.72 |
| 05-16 12:39 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.5899999707 | $1.61 |
| 05-15 09:41 | Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.5499999345 | $1.68 |
| 05-10 16:54 | Pistons vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.6 | $1.63 |
| 05-07 11:26 | Hurricanes vs. Flyers | BUY | 0.6099999043 | $2.23 |