cuscatleco503
0x4140f7543879ee1d62b2fba2cc86a7ae53ef774f
- Realised P&L
- $-887.88
- Volume
- $34.5k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $51.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.619 | 0.496 | $24.06 | −$5.94 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.045 | $12.27 | −$17.73 |
| SBF released from custody in 2026? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.024 | $9.37 | −$5.63 |
| AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? · Yes | 0.677 | 0.034 | $5.69 | −$109.31 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes | 0.093 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$289.99 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.066 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$719.99 |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No | 0.137 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$710.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$245.00at 0.666US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$172.24at 0.469 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$126.24at 0.576US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
- +$94.12at 0.677US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?
- +$46.05at 0.884US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-16 02:46 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18? | BUY | 0.9499999762 | $20.00 |
| 07-15 18:52 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.0146564814 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 22:54 | AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? | BUY | 0.6999999965 | $40.00 |
| 07-14 22:46 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $62.48 |
| 07-14 17:23 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.0190000001 | $10.00 |
| 07-10 22:28 | AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? | BUY | 0.6756861039 | $25.00 |
| 07-10 22:21 | AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? | BUY | 0.6599999991 | $30.00 |
| 07-10 21:27 | AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? | BUY | 0.6599999954 | $20.00 |
| 07-08 15:17 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.05 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 17:17 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.0699999939 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 01:37 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.32 |
| 07-07 01:36 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $50.00 |
| 07-06 14:48 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $100.00 |
| 07-04 01:45 | SBF released from custody in 2026? | BUY | 0.0384362656 | $15.00 |
| 07-04 01:43 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.6189999993 | $30.00 |