PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

notgoodluck

0x413f29bc7f5ce2a2d8d28fb3a8b5d75199d247f3

Realised P&L
$-157.2k
Volume
$4.75M
Markets traded
386
Open portfolio
$6.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded386
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6020.625$3.1k+$112.50
Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-10? · Yes0.7000.720$2.9k+$81.70
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.3700.065$436.29−$2.0k
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · Yes0.1840.034$184.31−$815.67

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 14:53Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.602$3.0k
09-21 08:15Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.002$5.50
09-19 16:59Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.85$6.7k
09-19 07:42Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.83$8.0k
09-18 17:06Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.82$6.0k
09-18 16:58Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.79$11.8k
09-16 14:48Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.71$10.7k
09-16 11:13Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.88$17.6k
09-13 16:54Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.88$4.5k
09-13 16:05Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.87$4.3k
09-13 08:16Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.87$457.84
09-13 00:14Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.87$4.1k
09-12 14:42Will FC Porto win on 2026-09-12?BUY0.83$3.3k
09-12 10:52Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.64$1.0k
09-11 13:41Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.65$246.01