Thomas-ke
0x413dee9cad6f155880c9121260d7b9523efdbdb8
- Realised P&L
- $-289.58
- Volume
- $11.5k
- Markets traded
- 111
- Open portfolio
- $0.90
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded111
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration80.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.85at 0.978US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$6.96at 0.956Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$4.00at 0.960Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
- +$1.85at 0.860Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
- +$1.03at 0.680Fnatic merger/acquisition announced by September 1, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 08:15 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 08:15 | Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year? | SELL | 0.03927 | $0.79 |
| 09-06 08:15 | Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $446,000 and $454,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.011032 | $0.55 |
| 09-06 08:15 | Will Lionel Messi be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? | SELL | 0.04 | $2.00 |
| 09-06 08:15 | Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | SELL | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 09-06 08:15 | Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $4.00 |
| 09-06 08:15 | Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $345,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.11 | $5.50 |
| 09-06 08:15 | Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%? | SELL | 0.15 | $7.50 |
| 09-06 08:14 | Will Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series? | SELL | 0.4 | $8.00 |
| 09-06 08:14 | Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | SELL | 0.387408 | $19.37 |
| 09-06 08:14 | Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 1.0% and 1.4%? | SELL | 0.04685 | $0.94 |
| 08-21 03:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET | BUY | 0.849999983 | $5.00 |
| 08-08 03:02 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? | SELL | 0.742178 | $37.11 |
| 08-08 03:02 | Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? | SELL | 0.68 | $34.00 |
| 08-07 00:33 | Fnatic merger/acquisition announced by September 1, 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $4.00 |