PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x413b9d26078b989103c5811e662bad00ec5db488

Realised P&L
$-2.8k
Volume
$176.4k
Markets traded
66
Open portfolio
$85.72

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded66
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-25 06:00US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?SELL0.003$3.90
08-10 17:14Will TEAM VISION Win The International 2026?BUY0.27$39.96
08-09 11:26Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?SELL0.035$54.69
08-09 11:25Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.045$81.82
08-09 11:25Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.1004393239$243.20
07-20 19:35Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?SELL0.014140178$30.40
07-20 19:34Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?SELL0.1182845642$37.32
07-18 10:58Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?SELL0.77$102.92
07-18 10:56Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?SELL0.56$210.26
07-06 10:14Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?BUY0.5299999989$199.00
07-02 21:09Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?SELL0.69$231.15
07-02 21:09Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.003$2.40
07-02 21:08US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?SELL0.0323574468$15.21
06-28 20:31US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?BUY0.427630382$28.21
06-17 14:15Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.3099999993$199.00