XueqinJiang
0x4133f8ff4b624c1d1b4ddfbf1da803c1e0d4ea5d
- Realised P&L
- $36.1k
- Volume
- $1.64M
- Markets traded
- 173
- Open portfolio
- $20.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded173
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · No | 0.853 | 0.970 | $7.9k | +$947.51 |
| Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027? · No | 0.856 | 0.960 | $7.8k | +$850.41 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No | 0.884 | 0.979 | $2.8k | +$269.88 |
| Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.847 | 0.815 | $1.1k | −$43.02 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? · No | 0.796 | 0.808 | $483.75 | +$7.28 |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? · Yes | 0.242 | 0.105 | $150.78 | −$196.42 |
| Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027? · No | 0.450 | 0.560 | $1.24 | +$0.24 |
| Will STRC hit $100 by June 30? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.72 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.99 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$93.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.7kat 0.190US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$3.4kat 0.577US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$2.3kat 0.785Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
- +$2.3kat 0.083US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$1.9kat 0.598US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 21:17 | Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027? | BUY | 0.953 | $45.09 |
| 09-06 09:37 | Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.969187054 | $478.08 |
| 09-06 09:33 | Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027? | BUY | 0.9578952432 | $159.29 |
| 08-28 15:13 | Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | SELL | 0.9800173911 | $737.08 |
| 08-22 08:52 | Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027? | BUY | 0.4499997975 | $1.00 |
| 08-15 06:21 | Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.9741934414 | $135.17 |
| 08-10 09:23 | Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | SELL | 0.0175124022 | $24.98 |
| 08-10 09:22 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $36.57 |
| 07-03 07:41 | Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? | SELL | 0.985 | $708.11 |
| 07-03 07:41 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | SELL | 0.29 | $682.04 |
| 07-02 13:25 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | SELL | 0.3 | $128.36 |
| 06-29 07:33 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | BUY | 0.0044690341 | $1.00 |
| 06-29 07:33 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 06-29 07:32 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | SELL | 0.78 | $234.00 |
| 06-28 08:39 | Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in July? | SELL | 0.32 | $7.82 |