0x4129ed4e7f42ae6c4da6639a72cb0f2d6380ea5e
- Realised P&L
- $-668.95
- Volume
- $470.0k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $15.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.091 | 0.045 | $15.17 | −$15.20 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.269 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$128.37 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-2.88at 1.008Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$-2.95at 1.008Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$-6.28at 0.607Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-16.29at 1.008Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$-18.76at 0.400Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 02:45 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.053 | $371.00 |
| 07-28 13:10 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0889999992 | $100.00 |
| 07-28 03:24 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0885254338 | $93.27 |
| 07-25 15:13 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0888835974 | $98.87 |
| 07-22 04:59 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0929999996 | $191.45 |
| 07-22 03:47 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0929999996 | $184.62 |
| 07-19 21:10 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.268999999 | $128.37 |
| 07-19 20:20 | Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.997 | $135.98 |
| 07-19 20:20 | Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.998 | $136.12 |
| 07-19 20:16 | Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.997 | $138.89 |
| 07-19 20:16 | Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.998 | $139.04 |
| 07-17 09:38 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.588 | $99.82 |
| 07-17 09:38 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5889999984 | $100.00 |
| 07-17 08:58 | Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.996 | $145.83 |
| 07-17 08:58 | Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.997 | $145.98 |