PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x4129ed4e7f42ae6c4da6639a72cb0f2d6380ea5e

Realised P&L
$-668.95
Volume
$470.0k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$15.17

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0910.045$15.17$15.20
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2690.000$0.00$128.37

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 02:45Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.053$371.00
07-28 13:10Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0889999992$100.00
07-28 03:24Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0885254338$93.27
07-25 15:13Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0888835974$98.87
07-22 04:59Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0929999996$191.45
07-22 03:47Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0929999996$184.62
07-19 21:10Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.268999999$128.37
07-19 20:20Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.997$135.98
07-19 20:20Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.998$136.12
07-19 20:16Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.997$138.89
07-19 20:16Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.998$139.04
07-17 09:38Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.588$99.82
07-17 09:38Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5889999984$100.00
07-17 08:58Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.996$145.83
07-17 08:58Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.997$145.98