Roy23451
0x4122a5fb4330d1520f062b16e733813e4d6bf0d5
- Realised P&L
- $-0.21
- Volume
- $3.6k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $2.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 10? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.535 | $2.14 | +$0.74 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.77at 0.240Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 24?
- +$23.38at 0.180Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 28?
- +$19.41at 0.403Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 102-103°F on July 22?
- +$16.96at 0.228Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 25?
- +$14.98at 0.250Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on July 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 16:32 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-08 20:06 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.00 |
| 08-08 20:05 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.20 |
| 08-08 18:45 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.55 | $11.00 |
| 08-08 18:30 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.416 | $8.32 |
| 08-08 18:28 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.97 |
| 08-08 18:27 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.52 | $5.19 |
| 08-08 18:24 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.37 | $5.14 |
| 07-28 19:18 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.80 |
| 07-28 19:17 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 28? | BUY | 0.55 | $9.39 |
| 07-28 19:14 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 28? | BUY | 0.6419753003 | $20.00 |
| 07-28 13:39 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on July 28? | BUY | 0.1386138397 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 05:10 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 28? | SELL | 0.96 | $28.78 |
| 07-27 20:29 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 27? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $2.00 |
| 07-27 20:27 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 27? | BUY | 0.59 | $3.54 |