Roy23451
0x4122a5fb4330d1520f062b16e733813e4d6bf0d5
- Realised P&L
- $-59.21
- Volume
- $4.6k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $2.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 16? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.100 | $2.00 | −$0.80 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 14? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.70at 0.240Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 24?
- +$26.56at 0.616Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 10?
- +$23.30at 0.181Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 28?
- +$21.62at 0.690Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 10?
- +$19.19at 0.408Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 102-103°F on July 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 16:28 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 14? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-18 19:07 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 18? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.28 |
| 08-18 18:42 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 18? | BUY | 0.09 | $0.45 |
| 08-15 21:41 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 15? | BUY | 0.50999983 | $1.20 |
| 08-12 20:28 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 13? | BUY | 0.71 | $71.00 |
| 08-12 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 11? | SELL | 0.999 | $32.31 |
| 08-12 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 11? | SELL | 0.999 | $56.67 |
| 08-11 20:17 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 11? | BUY | 0.7199999654 | $5.00 |
| 08-11 20:13 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 11? | BUY | 0.68 | $4.25 |
| 08-11 20:09 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 11? | SELL | 0.35 | $4.58 |
| 08-11 20:07 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 11? | SELL | 0.4796125711 | $53.11 |
| 08-10 20:45 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 10? | SELL | 0.94 | $77.82 |
| 08-10 20:27 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 11? | BUY | 0.45 | $18.00 |
| 08-10 17:04 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 10? | SELL | 0.999 | $69.92 |
| 08-10 15:50 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 10? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.46 |