hezuohuoban
0x411ade8db19dbc7ede2731f22ac54c5c8e515a86
- Realised P&L
- $-202.49
- Volume
- $238.4k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $4.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$649.00at 0.031SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?
- +$180.37at 0.820Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$100.27at 0.250Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
- +$71.99at 0.034Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
- +$70.75at 0.888Thunder vs. Pacers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 14:32 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.992 | $2.0k |
| 09-16 14:30 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9 | $799.20 |
| 08-11 04:45 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.88 | $739.15 |
| 08-11 04:43 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.887 | $94.02 |
| 08-11 04:43 | Will BNB dip to $300 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92684 | $23.17 |
| 08-11 04:42 | Will BNB dip to $400 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.808126294 | $15.61 |
| 07-11 16:28 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | SELL | 0.15 | $96.94 |
| 07-11 16:28 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | SELL | 0.15 | $96.94 |
| 07-11 13:55 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31? | BUY | 0.32 | $96.00 |
| 07-11 07:34 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | BUY | 0.22 | $132.00 |
| 07-10 20:53 | Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m? | SELL | 0.0312758714 | $16.16 |
| 07-10 20:52 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | BUY | 0.209687875 | $167.75 |
| 07-10 15:42 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | SELL | 0.2 | $24.87 |
| 07-10 15:30 | Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | SELL | 0.39 | $2.54 |
| 07-10 15:27 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | SELL | 0.21 | $50.48 |