PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

hezuohuoban

0x411ade8db19dbc7ede2731f22ac54c5c8e515a86

Realised P&L
$-202.49
Volume
$238.4k
Markets traded
59
Open portfolio
$4.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded59
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample47 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.9921.000$2.0k+$16.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.9001.000$888.00+$88.80
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · No0.8800.865$726.55$12.60
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9170.963$288.75+$13.65
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8700.955$191.00+$17.00
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9500.986$185.27+$6.67
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.8870.859$91.00$3.02
StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch? · No0.9890.974$50.62$0.81
Will BNB dip to $300 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9270.920$23.00$0.17
Will BNB dip to $400 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8080.840$16.23+$0.62
Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$28.90
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? · No0.5300.000$0.00$530.00
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$17.00
Will Trump say "Transgender" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$5.80
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15? · Down0.3050.000$0.00$9.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 14:32Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.992$2.0k
09-16 14:30Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.9$799.20
08-11 04:45Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.88$739.15
08-11 04:43Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027?BUY0.887$94.02
08-11 04:43Will BNB dip to $300 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.92684$23.17
08-11 04:42Will BNB dip to $400 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.808126294$15.61
07-11 16:28Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?SELL0.15$96.94
07-11 16:28Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?SELL0.15$96.94
07-11 13:55Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?BUY0.32$96.00
07-11 07:34Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?BUY0.22$132.00
07-10 20:53Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?SELL0.0312758714$16.16
07-10 20:52Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?BUY0.209687875$167.75
07-10 15:42Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?SELL0.2$24.87
07-10 15:30Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?SELL0.39$2.54
07-10 15:27Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?SELL0.21$50.48