PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Csikos

0x4114363da92359be548032b7ddcc666f6d8637c4

Realised P&L
$-4.8k
Volume
$233.9k
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$512.96

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration53.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample32 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration95.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.4000.065$490.05$2.5k
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31? · No0.9201.000$11.91+$0.95
Will Matthias Bluebaum win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? · No0.9821.000$11.00+$0.20
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 3? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$48.00
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? · No0.1800.000$0.00$325.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-14 11:33Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?BUY0.99$2.5k
01-13 22:59Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?BUY0.973$3.9k
01-13 21:32Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 14?BUY0.999$908.20
01-13 21:31Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 14?BUY0.999$871.08
01-13 21:31Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 14?BUY0.999$1.9k
01-13 14:27Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 13?BUY0.998$31.76
01-13 11:26Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 13?BUY0.999$754.12
01-13 10:48Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 13?BUY0.999$5.8k
01-09 20:46Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.72$70.54
01-09 19:53Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31?BUY0.92$10.96
01-09 16:35Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 10?BUY0.999$5.8k
01-09 16:19Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 9?BUY0.9988920358$1.8k
01-09 16:06Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 9?BUY0.999$27.8k
01-04 20:11Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on January 5?BUY0.999$6.5k
01-02 22:05Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 December 29-January 4?BUY0.995$197.07