PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x410d389f1DCDcdA12F6bC942C8022D40117e4C78-1776235108481

0x410d389f1dcdcda12f6bc942c8022d40117e4c78

Realised P&L
$-294.49
Volume
$11.2k
Markets traded
140
Open portfolio
$32.85

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded140
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
RFK Jr. Out by December 31? · Yes0.4130.220$21.41$18.78
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · No0.5500.745$11.44+$2.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET · Up0.6700.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET · Down0.3990.000$0.00$5.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No0.1130.000$0.00$53.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET · Up0.4400.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 23:12RFK Jr. Out by December 31?SELL0.3479136691$33.85
07-10 05:55Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?SELL0.54$11.04
07-08 02:56Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?SELL0.59$8.04
07-03 00:06Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?SELL0.9979860419$10.01
07-02 21:30Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.981$6.05
07-02 06:09Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?BUY0.5499999807$10.00
07-02 06:08Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?BUY0.5499999931$20.00
07-01 22:15Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.992$10.05
07-01 22:14Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.975$20.11
07-01 22:14Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.153$1.36
07-01 05:23Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9689999993$20.00
07-01 05:22Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?BUY0.998$8.00
07-01 03:27Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?BUY0.998$10.00
06-30 20:03RFK Jr. Out by December 31?BUY0.3699999112$2.00
06-30 04:03Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?BUY0.9939999998$20.00