zhuanyidianjiuhao
0x410caf0520fcb4a495919f506cff646444d9d091
- Realised P&L
- $-16.5k
- Volume
- $1.27M
- Markets traded
- 2,260
- Open portfolio
- $4.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,260
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.323Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 2?
- +$1.1kat 0.314Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 5?
- +$1.1kat 0.486Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 5?
- +$963.41at 0.263Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 7?
- +$899.97at 0.304Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-02 06:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET | BUY | 0.31 | $6.20 |
| 05-02 06:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET | BUY | 0.31 | $31.00 |
| 05-02 06:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET | SELL | 0.4653677157 | $139.59 |
| 04-29 09:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 04-29 09:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.06 | $5.90 |
| 04-29 09:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET | SELL | 0.02 | $6.00 |
| 04-29 06:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET | BUY | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 04-28 15:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $49.00 |
| 04-28 15:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.33 | $33.00 |
| 04-28 15:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.38 | $38.00 |
| 04-28 14:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | SELL | 0.0430036194 | $9.03 |
| 04-28 14:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | SELL | 0.08 | $0.80 |
| 04-28 14:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.46 | $46.00 |
| 04-28 14:53 | Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.05 |
| 04-28 14:53 | Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026? | BUY | 0.03 | $0.63 |