=3=
0x41089eef56a28358b10dc0de33bd55494869a80d
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $977.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,516
- Open portfolio
- $142.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,516
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration5.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.590 | 1.000 | $9.99 | +$4.09 |
| National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Katherine Sebov · Marta Kostyuk | 0.960 | 0.955 | $9.54 | −$0.05 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees · St. Louis Cardinals | 0.320 | 0.875 | $8.75 | +$5.55 |
| Canadian Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jan-Lennard Struff · Alex Michelsen | 0.740 | 0.875 | $8.74 | +$1.35 |
| National Bank Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Daniel Altmaier · Aleksandar Vukic | 0.580 | 0.825 | $8.25 | +$2.45 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs · Chicago Cubs | 0.460 | 0.765 | $7.65 | +$3.05 |
| National Bank Open: Duncan Chan vs Thiago Agustin Tirante · Thiago Agustin Tirante | 0.730 | 0.735 | $7.35 | +$0.05 |
| Warsaw: Laura Samson vs Mona Barthel · Laura Samson | 0.590 | 0.655 | $6.55 | +$0.65 |
| Warsaw: Elsa Jacquemot vs Carol Young Suh Lee · Carol Young Suh Lee | 0.650 | 0.655 | $6.55 | +$0.05 |
| National Bank Open: Martin Damm vs Stefanos Tsitsipas · Stefanos Tsitsipas | 0.640 | 0.625 | $6.25 | −$0.15 |
| National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino · Jacob Fearnley | 0.590 | 0.605 | $6.05 | +$0.15 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.590 | 0.595 | $5.95 | +$0.05 |
| National Bank Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Kyrian Jacquet · Gabriel Diallo | 0.530 | 0.540 | $5.40 | +$0.10 |
| Warsaw: Dalma Galfi vs Ella Seidel · Dalma Galfi | 0.500 | 0.505 | $5.05 | +$0.05 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.510 | 0.505 | $5.05 | −$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.6kat 0.130Pacers vs. Cavaliers
- +$1.9kat 0.110Nets vs. Celtics
- +$1.8kat 0.941Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
- +$1.5kat 0.140Knicks vs. Nets
- +$1.1kat 0.150Jazz vs. Lakers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 11:44 | Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.02 |
| 07-27 02:19 | The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Tatiana Prozorova vs Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann | SELL | 0.02 | $0.20 |
| 07-22 04:53 | Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw? | BUY | 0.23 | $5.75 |
| 07-18 21:46 | France vs. England: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 07-14 20:52 | France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.34 | $6.80 |
| 07-14 13:51 | Will Adidas be the brand of boot worn by the Golden Boot winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3104 | $31.04 |
| 07-13 04:10 | Will Uhlsport be the brand of gloves worn by the Golden Glove winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3 | $6.00 |
| 07-13 03:54 | Will Uhlsport be the brand of gloves worn by the Golden Glove winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.29 | $7.38 |
| 07-10 20:55 | Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.75 | $22.50 |
| 07-10 19:43 | Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.2775 | $8.33 |
| 07-07 17:48 | Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.57 | $5.70 |
| 07-07 17:43 | Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.18 | $1.80 |
| 07-02 02:01 | United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.21 | $4.20 |
| 07-02 01:56 | United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.72 | $14.40 |
| 07-02 01:43 | United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $10.20 |