=3=
0x41089eef56a28358b10dc0de33bd55494869a80d
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $1.11M
- Markets traded
- 6,602
- Open portfolio
- $823.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,602
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration6.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03? · No | 0.640 | 0.645 | $58.05 | +$0.45 |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-02? · No | 0.567 | 0.555 | $49.95 | −$1.05 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5 · Under | 0.505 | 0.485 | $29.10 | −$1.20 |
| Spread: AS Roma (-2.5) · Manchester United FC | 0.923 | 0.929 | $27.87 | +$0.18 |
| Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-2.5) · ACF Fiorentina | 0.940 | 0.935 | $27.69 | −$0.15 |
| Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5) · FC Bayern München | 0.920 | 0.920 | $27.60 | +$0.00 |
| Spread: Atalanta BC (-3.5) · Parma Calcio 1913 | 0.900 | 0.905 | $27.15 | +$0.15 |
| Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5) · AS Roma | 0.910 | 0.905 | $27.15 | −$0.15 |
| Spread: AS Roma (-1.5) · Manchester United FC | 0.820 | 0.825 | $24.75 | +$0.15 |
| Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5) · AS Roma | 0.790 | 0.785 | $23.55 | −$0.15 |
| Spread: Seahawks (-10.5) · Bears | 0.770 | 0.765 | $22.95 | −$0.15 |
| Spread: Bears (-3.5) · Seahawks | 0.730 | 0.735 | $22.05 | +$0.15 |
| Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-02? · No | 0.690 | 0.705 | $21.15 | +$0.45 |
| Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.660 | 0.665 | $19.95 | +$0.15 |
| US Sassuolo Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.590 | 0.605 | $18.15 | +$0.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.6kat 0.130Pacers vs. Cavaliers
- +$1.9kat 0.110Nets vs. Celtics
- +$1.8kat 0.941Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
- +$1.5kat 0.140Knicks vs. Nets
- +$1.1kat 0.150Jazz vs. Lakers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 02:29 | Bruins vs. Blues: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $61.94 |
| 10-30 02:04 | Cavaliers vs. Hawks | SELL | 0.72 | $72.00 |
| 10-29 17:27 | Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5) | SELL | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 10-25 00:32 | Heat vs. Hornets | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 10-23 09:43 | Spread: Raptors (-7.5) | BUY | 0.53 | $15.90 |
| 10-23 02:29 | Nuggets vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.49 | $4.90 |
| 10-18 02:04 | Blues vs. Predators: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $27.97 |
| 10-18 01:37 | Texans vs. Jaguars: O/U 40.5 | BUY | 0.45 | $9.00 |
| 10-17 02:52 | Nuggets vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.49 | $4.90 |
| 10-17 02:11 | Penguins vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $199.80 |
| 10-17 01:17 | Raptors vs. Pistons | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 10-17 00:55 | Bucks vs. Pacers | BUY | 0.49 | $4.90 |
| 10-16 23:26 | Heat vs. Magic | BUY | 0.49 | $4.90 |
| 10-15 23:48 | Raptors vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.49 | $4.90 |
| 10-15 14:05 | NEC vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |