cryptowithkumar
0x41082a49c55adbd71c93fe1deedee96a0938efb5
- Realised P&L
- $-5.31
- Volume
- $455.00
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $1.52
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 17? · No | 0.010 | 0.007 | $0.75 | −$0.25 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 17? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.008 | $0.45 | −$0.55 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 16? · No | 0.011 | 0.003 | $0.27 | −$0.73 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 16? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.001 | $0.05 | −$0.95 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 15? · No | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 15? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.14at 0.294Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
- +$-1.30at 0.043Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 10:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.0176352704 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 10:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 10:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.0209999998 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 10:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 10:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.019 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 10:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.0149999999 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 04:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET | SELL | 0.35 | $1.25 |
| 09-15 04:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 04:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 04:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET | SELL | 0.21 | $0.87 |
| 09-15 04:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |