dgvfdhbd
0x41024a722204f56edb790b65550a9d93f2245f87
- Realised P&L
- $1.0k
- Volume
- $10.8k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $21.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)59.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by September 30? · No | 0.980 | 0.984 | $21.02 | +$0.09 |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.71 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 14? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.25 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 20? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$712.26at 0.452Pacers vs. Bulls
- +$556.93at 0.718Hawks vs. Nets
- +$496.75at 0.614Bulls vs. Wizards
- +$457.22at 0.709Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies
- +$376.32at 0.614Thunder vs. Clippers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 06:17 | Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by September 30? | BUY | 0.98 | $20.93 |
| 09-09 06:10 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.963 | $17.11 |
| 08-12 06:04 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.955 | $16.97 |
| 07-18 09:19 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $15.32 |
| 06-25 09:31 | Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.052 | $2.71 |
| 05-22 06:21 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? | BUY | 0.989 | $47.39 |
| 04-09 07:06 | Bulls vs. Wizards | BUY | 0.7 | $453.68 |
| 04-08 08:32 | Thunder vs. Clippers | BUY | 0.7 | $343.70 |
| 04-07 10:05 | Timberwolves vs. Pacers | BUY | 0.87 | $345.29 |
| 04-06 11:47 | Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies | BUY | 0.91 | $715.02 |
| 04-03 08:59 | Hawks vs. Nets | BUY | 0.93 | $918.69 |
| 04-01 10:36 | Pacers vs. Bulls | BUY | 0.36 | $239.29 |
| 03-30 12:15 | Suns vs. Grizzlies | BUY | 0.88 | $430.22 |
| 03-28 07:57 | Pistons vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.45 | $180.90 |
| 03-19 09:24 | Bucks vs. Jazz | BUY | 0.34 | $40.46 |