PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

BS-SA-JJ-Team

0x40f1ca46f0fa82daa50d8a35c9c753c42c2015f9

Realised P&L
$-34.6k
Volume
$1.02M
Markets traded
70
Open portfolio
$50.68

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded70
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? · Yes0.3300.086$50.68−$142.67
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00−$2.6k
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$222.21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00−$509.99
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00−$153.14
Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30? · Yes0.1120.000$0.00−$300.00
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30? · Yes0.3790.000$0.00−$1.6k
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00−$1.4k
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? · No0.6810.000$0.00−$7.2k
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? · No0.8730.000$0.00−$10.9k
US forces enter Iran by March 31? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00−$3.7k
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.3060.000$0.00−$34.81
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.4960.000$0.00−$8.5k
Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 3, 2026? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$27.48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00−$2.4k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 19:19Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.31$12.26
09-23 15:27Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.31$2.6k
09-23 15:12Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?SELL0.9003533493$1.1k
09-23 15:12Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?SELL0.09$142.83
09-23 15:09Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?BUY0.1$158.70
09-23 15:05Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?SELL0.106$12.41
09-23 15:04Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?SELL0.033$100.19
09-23 15:02Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.06$117.48
04-09 03:09Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?BUY0.419$100.56
04-07 20:28US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?BUY0.73$656.12
04-07 19:43Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?BUY0.6199163235$2.1k
04-07 19:27Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?BUY0.8870380762$442.63
04-07 18:04Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?BUY0.873$244.42
04-07 08:06Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?BUY0.51$20.19
04-06 07:15Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?BUY0.31$600.45