BS-SA-JJ-Team
0x40f1ca46f0fa82daa50d8a35c9c753c42c2015f9
- Realised P&L
- $-32.0k
- Volume
- $999.9k
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $2.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.3kat 0.310US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$11.4kat 0.260US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$10.0kat 0.375US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$5.6kat 0.221US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
- +$4.8kat 0.764Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-09 03:09 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | BUY | 0.419 | $100.56 |
| 04-07 20:28 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | BUY | 0.73 | $656.12 |
| 04-07 19:43 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | BUY | 0.6199163235 | $2.1k |
| 04-07 19:27 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | BUY | 0.8870380762 | $442.63 |
| 04-07 18:04 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | BUY | 0.873 | $244.42 |
| 04-07 08:06 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | BUY | 0.51 | $20.19 |
| 04-06 07:15 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | BUY | 0.31 | $600.45 |
| 04-06 07:14 | Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30? | BUY | 0.38 | $36.21 |
| 04-06 04:01 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.997 | $2.2k |
| 04-06 04:00 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.997 | $5.0k |
| 04-06 04:00 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.997 | $4.0k |
| 04-06 04:00 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.997 | $3.0k |
| 04-06 04:00 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.997 | $2.0k |
| 04-06 04:00 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.997 | $997.00 |
| 04-04 00:12 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | SELL | 0.81 | $4.5k |