PolyBot

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Traders

BS-SA-JJ-Team

0x40f1ca46f0fa82daa50d8a35c9c753c42c2015f9

Realised P&L
$-32.0k
Volume
$999.9k
Markets traded
69
Open portfolio
$2.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded69
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? · No0.7970.905$1.1k+$135.61
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31? · No0.6661.000$626.54+$208.91
Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.8881.000$397.87+$44.56
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.4301.000$329.50+$187.81
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes0.3290.055$166.99$833.00
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.3400.065$127.33$538.67
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? · Yes0.3300.133$93.50$138.49
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$222.21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? · Yes0.5610.000$0.00$561.00
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00$153.14
Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30? · Yes0.1120.000$0.00$300.00
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30? · Yes0.3790.000$0.00$1.6k
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00$1.4k
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? · No0.6810.000$0.00$7.2k
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? · No0.8730.000$0.00$10.9k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-09 03:09Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?BUY0.419$100.56
04-07 20:28US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?BUY0.73$656.12
04-07 19:43Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?BUY0.6199163235$2.1k
04-07 19:27Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?BUY0.8870380762$442.63
04-07 18:04Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?BUY0.873$244.42
04-07 08:06Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?BUY0.51$20.19
04-06 07:15Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?BUY0.31$600.45
04-06 07:14Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?BUY0.38$36.21
04-06 04:01US forces enter Iran by April 30?SELL0.997$2.2k
04-06 04:00US forces enter Iran by April 30?SELL0.997$5.0k
04-06 04:00US forces enter Iran by April 30?SELL0.997$4.0k
04-06 04:00US forces enter Iran by April 30?SELL0.997$3.0k
04-06 04:00US forces enter Iran by April 30?SELL0.997$2.0k
04-06 04:00US forces enter Iran by April 30?SELL0.997$997.00
04-04 00:12Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?SELL0.81$4.5k