ktm999
0x40f14aeebb35be079df52882bb503c75aa2294b8
- Realised P&L
- $4.47
- Volume
- $4.2k
- Markets traded
- 128
- Open portfolio
- $9.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded128
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.47at 0.240Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-16?
- +$13.81at 0.420RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5
- +$11.92at 0.370Will Levante UD win on 2026-05-08?
- +$11.74at 0.460Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5
- +$10.66at 0.480Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 08:59 | Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 08:58 | Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.7099999702 | $5.00 |
| 06-18 14:16 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on June 18? | BUY | 0.7399999674 | $5.00 |
| 06-18 13:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.229999916 | $2.00 |
| 06-18 13:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 06-18 13:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 06-18 13:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 06-18 11:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | SELL | 0.26 | $5.00 |
| 06-18 11:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | BUY | 0.2599999646 | $5.00 |
| 06-03 13:32 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 3? | BUY | 0.0052525974 | $10.00 |
| 06-03 13:21 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 3? | BUY | 0.9689999993 | $10.00 |
| 05-18 11:23 | Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 05-17 08:44 | Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5899999947 | $10.00 |
| 05-17 08:43 | Everton FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4699999915 | $10.00 |
| 05-17 08:42 | Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17? | BUY | 0.5799999861 | $10.00 |