klmgrv
0x40ec1ea1eb19e1e695c6827221bea6f8302cb14f
- Realised P&L
- $-8.51
- Volume
- $600.17
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $109.24
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.43at 0.350Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$-39.94at 0.318Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 13:27 | Will the Republican Party hold between 225 and 229 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.67 |
| 11-02 13:27 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election by 6%-9%? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.42 |
| 11-02 13:27 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 0%-3%? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.68 |
| 11-02 13:23 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? | BUY | 0.14 | $4.20 |
| 11-02 13:21 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire Senate election by 9%-12%? | BUY | 0.15 | $9.30 |
| 11-02 13:20 | Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | BUY | 0.088 | $1.76 |
| 11-02 13:16 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.18 |
| 11-02 13:15 | Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.0719999996 | $5.80 |
| 11-02 13:15 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election by 3%-6%? | BUY | 0.1119999995 | $10.20 |
| 11-02 13:14 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 5%-10%? | BUY | 0.2699999955 | $11.95 |
| 11-02 13:14 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election by 0%-5%? | BUY | 0.2734460401 | $12.50 |
| 11-01 21:23 | Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms? | BUY | 0.011 | $0.11 |
| 11-01 21:21 | Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $7.70 |
| 11-01 21:19 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.06 | $9.24 |
| 10-25 23:33 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.064 | $10.06 |