PolyBot

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Traders

klmgrv

0x40ec1ea1eb19e1e695c6827221bea6f8302cb14f

Realised P&L
$-8.51
Volume
$600.17
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$109.24

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election by 0%-5%? · Yes0.2730.290$13.26+$0.76
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 5%-10%? · Yes0.2700.265$11.73−$0.22
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.0600.055$11.38−$1.03
Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0280.047$11.37+$4.60
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election by 3%-6%? · Yes0.1120.117$10.66+$0.46
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire Senate election by 9%-12%? · Yes0.1500.155$9.61+$0.31
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? · No0.2200.225$7.88+$0.17
Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0690.070$7.68+$0.08
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms? · Yes0.0110.018$5.68+$2.11
Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0390.057$4.80+$1.49
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? · Yes0.1400.145$4.35+$0.15
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 0%-3%? · Yes0.1600.155$3.56−$0.11
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election by 6%-9%? · Yes0.2200.215$2.37−$0.05
Will the Republican Party hold between 225 and 229 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0100.012$2.00+$0.33
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? · Yes0.0880.093$1.86+$0.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 13:27Will the Republican Party hold between 225 and 229 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.01$1.67
11-02 13:27Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?BUY0.22$2.42
11-02 13:27Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 0%-3%?BUY0.16$3.68
11-02 13:23Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?BUY0.14$4.20
11-02 13:21Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire Senate election by 9%-12%?BUY0.15$9.30
11-02 13:20Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?BUY0.088$1.76
11-02 13:16Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.06$3.18
11-02 13:15Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.0719999996$5.80
11-02 13:15Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?BUY0.1119999995$10.20
11-02 13:14Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 5%-10%?BUY0.2699999955$11.95
11-02 13:14Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election by 0%-5%?BUY0.2734460401$12.50
11-01 21:23Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?BUY0.011$0.11
11-01 21:21Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?BUY0.22$7.70
11-01 21:19Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.06$9.24
10-25 23:33Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.064$10.06