0x40E7FC2d3a448C156C5D53595Fa9fBEa52471816-1782224002765
0x40e7fc2d3a448c156c5d53595fa9fbea52471816
- Realised P&L
- $106.58
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $41.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.76at 0.706Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
- +$36.18at 0.736Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$30.73at 0.371Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-19?
- +$17.14at 0.747Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
- +$13.77at 0.785France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 15:30 | Will AD Tarma win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.3299999924 | $10.00 |
| 09-23 15:27 | Will Birmingham Legion FC win on 2026-09-23? | BUY | 0.599999988 | $10.00 |
| 09-23 15:26 | Exact Score: Birmingham Legion FC 2 - 1 Brooklyn FC? | BUY | 0.1099999987 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 15:26 | Will Birmingham Legion FC win on 2026-09-23? | BUY | 0.599999988 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 13:00 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.4399999947 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 16:10 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.3599999992 | $17.60 |
| 09-19 16:00 | Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-19? | SELL | 0.999 | $18.16 |
| 09-19 13:39 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5799999849 | $9.19 |
| 09-19 13:38 | Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 13:38 | Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 05:12 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5949999946 | $20.00 |
| 07-11 23:27 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.1049999826 | $5.00 |
| 07-11 12:55 | Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 07-10 08:11 | Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.737499998 | $50.00 |
| 07-09 02:39 | France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7799999978 | $50.00 |