0x40e70f3bf8842eaae2b0a709865b6bc64e84137b
0x40e70f3bf8842eaae2b0a709865b6bc64e84137b
- Realised P&L
- $11.24
- Volume
- $337.66
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $3.16
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.885 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.400 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.485 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.34at 0.227Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$6.21at 0.258Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $67 Week of August 10 2026?
- +$5.65at 0.270US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$3.56at 0.370Will the USS Abraham Lincoln depart CENTCOM by August 31, 2026?
- +$3.51at 0.379Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $60 Week of August 31 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 16:22 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 23:30 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 12:54 | Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 13:16 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 02:07 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 17:27 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 08:53 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $120 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 23:10 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 03:06 | Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.7099999932 | $2.09 |
| 09-23 16:38 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999449 | $2.09 |
| 09-23 07:35 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.6099999124 | $2.09 |
| 09-20 22:24 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $2.09 |
| 09-19 06:00 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.09 |
| 09-18 12:21 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on September 18? | BUY | 0.5199999701 | $2.09 |
| 09-17 23:26 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $185 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.09 |