vl1
0x40e1fe74865ff764ff6c7de2ab787bb02833c623
- Realised P&L
- $-150.08
- Volume
- $884.56
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $2.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-17.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration30.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) finish second on the party-list vote in Saint Petersburg? · Yes | 0.808 | 0.016 | $2.20 | −$108.80 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-20? · No | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET · Down | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET · Down | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.19at 0.427Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
- +$3.77at 0.577Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
- +$2.89at 0.827Rennes: Harold Mayot vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg
- +$2.78at 0.649Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
- +$0.12at 0.963Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 15:34 | Will Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) finish second on the party-list vote in Saint Petersburg? | BUY | 0.8275174468 | $100.00 |
| 09-20 15:25 | Rennes: Harold Mayot vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | SELL | 0.88 | $53.65 |
| 09-20 15:04 | Rennes: Harold Mayot vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | BUY | 0.8199999984 | $50.00 |
| 09-20 14:56 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.7299999895 | $30.00 |
| 09-20 14:50 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 14:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | BUY | 0.5599999642 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 14:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5599999642 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 10:16 | Will Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) finish second on the party-list vote in Saint Petersburg? | BUY | 0.6688125822 | $11.00 |
| 09-20 08:35 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.8 | $204.44 |
| 09-20 08:21 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.8099999986 | $207.00 |
| 08-29 05:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET | BUY | 0.6325171836 | $5.00 |
| 08-29 05:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET | BUY | 0.4099999289 | $3.00 |
| 08-29 05:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $3.00 |
| 08-29 04:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 08-29 04:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET | BUY | 0.6881008327 | $5.00 |