aviuser
0x40de90aaf8e98bb7187b2320d5f14b75f4f766bd
- Realised P&L
- $521.61
- Volume
- $116.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,221
- Open portfolio
- $886.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,221
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$186.90at 0.110Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 20?
- +$97.76at 0.020Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on July 31?
- +$97.00at 0.030Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on July 26?
- +$84.78at 0.830Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 23?
- +$80.00at 0.930Will CZ post 20-39 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 15:15 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.98 | $16.66 |
| 08-03 12:23 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.9236531436 | $48.04 |
| 08-03 12:15 | Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.9896694215 | $119.75 |
| 08-03 12:14 | Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $14.39 |
| 08-03 12:11 | Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.69 |
| 08-03 12:02 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 08-03 12:00 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.98 | $17.64 |
| 08-03 11:59 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 40°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 08-03 11:58 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.98 | $29.40 |
| 08-03 11:54 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $59.12 |
| 08-03 08:04 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.89 | $26.70 |
| 08-03 08:03 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $65.95 |
| 08-03 08:02 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.97 | $62.66 |
| 08-03 08:01 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.93 | $42.34 |
| 08-03 08:01 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.98 | $25.37 |