aviuser
0x40de90aaf8e98bb7187b2320d5f14b75f4f766bd
- Realised P&L
- $398.77
- Volume
- $152.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,681
- Open portfolio
- $303.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,681
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$185.87at 0.115Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 20?
- +$138.88at 0.745Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
- +$115.71at 0.571Will CZ post 0-19 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
- +$97.76at 0.020Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on July 31?
- +$97.00at 0.030Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on July 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 08:29 | Will CZ post 20-39 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $7.29 |
| 09-17 08:29 | Will CZ post 0-19 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $39.00 |
| 09-17 08:25 | Will CZ post 20-39 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $28.21 |
| 09-17 08:21 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C or below on September 18? | BUY | 0.995 | $64.93 |
| 09-17 08:21 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.98 | $61.19 |
| 09-17 08:19 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.94 | $7.11 |
| 09-17 07:14 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.99 | $56.00 |
| 09-17 07:08 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.34 | $5.10 |
| 09-16 08:16 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.97 | $14.55 |
| 09-16 08:13 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.991 | $9.91 |
| 09-16 08:11 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.8481699346 | $5.19 |
| 09-16 08:10 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 09-16 08:10 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 09-16 08:10 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 09-16 08:10 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.85 | $22.21 |