PolyBot

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Traders

0x40dd8b4d99fbd8f70095bda410263b9f0008a0de

0x40dd8b4d99fbd8f70095bda410263b9f0008a0de

Realised P&L
$0.63
Volume
$192.05
Markets traded
85
Open portfolio
$7.47

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded85
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · No0.6000.963$1.60+$0.60
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No0.7400.835$1.13+$0.13
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · Yes0.5600.625$1.12+$0.12
Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B? · No0.6600.710$1.08+$0.08
Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $17.2B? · Yes0.2800.270$0.96−$0.04
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? · No0.7700.620$0.81−$0.19
Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q3 investment banking fees be above $3.35B? · Yes0.2400.185$0.77−$0.23

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 14:33Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?BUY0.77$1.00
10-11 04:30Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $17.2B?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
10-10 19:17Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
10-09 20:15Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q3 investment banking fees be above $3.35B?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
10-09 11:24Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.559999776$1.00
10-09 03:23S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
10-08 19:18Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
10-08 06:26Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
10-07 22:25Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.649999805$1.00
10-07 10:24SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7?BUY0.6099998597$1.00
10-07 10:21SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7?BUY0.4$1.00
10-07 02:19Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $72 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.3799999924$1.00
10-06 18:19Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $185 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
10-06 08:59Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?BUY0.59999988$1.00
10-06 00:58Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?BUY0.69999972$1.00