0x40DD725A99A243ADb454E7d9636a21b100bE6a93-1769220559941
0x40dd725a99a243adb454e7d9636a21b100be6a93
- Realised P&L
- $-3.4k
- Volume
- $357.3k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $37.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.501Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 29?
- +$657.67at 0.262Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on February 2?
- +$618.29at 0.428Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 28?
- +$490.91at 0.298Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 30?
- +$447.33at 0.180Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 11:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.1611739206 | $163.55 |
| 09-15 22:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 19? | BUY | 0.052 | $79.81 |
| 09-15 22:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 19? | BUY | 0.0496346466 | $39.10 |
| 09-15 21:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 17? | SELL | 0.2457491839 | $91.85 |
| 09-15 21:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 17? | SELL | 0.067 | $42.77 |
| 09-15 13:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.3225843974 | $17.00 |
| 09-15 13:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.281 | $1.95 |
| 09-15 07:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.1303829787 | $12.26 |
| 09-15 07:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.047 | $30.00 |
| 09-15 05:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.1160705773 | $32.47 |
| 09-15 05:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 16? | SELL | 0.0215610592 | $32.47 |
| 09-14 20:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.1474282448 | $222.04 |
| 09-14 16:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15? | SELL | 0.25 | $242.84 |
| 09-14 15:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.3603227599 | $350.00 |
| 09-13 11:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 13? | BUY | 0.0589999998 | $6.54 |