PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

tradetesting

0x40c12fb35a21c8ab821e69bd406b547b1c5e89f7

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$74.5k
Markets traded
4,369
Open portfolio
$2.45

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,369
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration7.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be at least 3700+ measles cases in the U.S. by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2100.120$2.40$1.80
Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be between $13B and $14B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0270.003$0.05$0.49
Solana Up or Down - August 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET · Up0.6890.000$0.00$7.05
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET · Down0.6100.000$0.00$3.05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00$6.01
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET · Up0.5300.000$0.00$3.98
XRP Up or Down - August 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET · Up0.7300.000$0.00$3.65
BNB Up or Down - August 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET · Up0.4500.000$0.00$2.25
Ethereum Up or Down - August 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET · Up0.6200.000$0.00$3.10
Solana Up or Down - July 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET · Up0.5200.000$0.00$6.24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET · Down0.0750.000$0.00$0.75
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET · Up0.5700.000$0.00$5.70
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET · Up0.5700.000$0.00$2.85
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET · Down0.5700.000$0.00$7.41
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET · Up0.6100.000$0.00$3.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 14:30Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?SELL0.66$53.31
09-08 14:30Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.46$23.46
09-08 14:30Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?SELL0.33$8.25
09-08 14:30Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?SELL0.69$2.90
09-08 14:30Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?SELL0.64$0.49
09-08 14:30Will Barrett Pfeiffer win Big Brother season 28?SELL0.171$0.04
09-08 14:30Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting?SELL0.01$0.14
09-04 15:02Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETBUY0.6499999618$3.40
09-04 14:26Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETBUY0.6199999847$3.25
09-04 14:22BNB Up or Down - September 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETBUY0.7599999692$3.95
09-04 13:37Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETBUY0.5903225775$3.05
09-04 13:37Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETBUY0.5499999431$2.90
09-04 13:10XRP Up or Down - September 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETBUY0.7303896054$3.80
09-04 11:10Solana Up or Down - September 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETBUY0.75$3.90
09-03 15:58Will the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?SELL0.93$4.70