PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

A0A0A

0x40be599a6e7b50e7aacb593a6427d5fa06a3e067

Realised P&L
$-23.67
Volume
$43.4k
Markets traded
3,175
Open portfolio
$72.52

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,175
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 19? · Yes0.6961.000$37.35+$11.34
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 20? · Yes0.7490.685$21.00−$1.95
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET · Down0.3450.365$7.30+$0.40
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 20? · Yes0.7030.992$5.99+$1.74
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 20? · Yes0.6660.018$0.78−$28.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET · Up0.1700.005$0.10−$3.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET · Up0.3320.000$0.00−$13.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00−$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 08:06Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETBUY0.91$9.10
10-20 08:02Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETBUY0.85$19.72
10-20 07:33Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETBUY0.84$5.26
10-20 07:07Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETBUY0.8099999942$9.84
10-20 07:00Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 20?BUY0.7485510644$22.95
10-20 06:59Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETBUY0.8199999931$19.09
10-20 06:29Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETBUY0.81$19.44
10-20 06:03Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETBUY0.85$19.72
10-20 06:02Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETBUY0.8$9.84
10-20 05:06Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETBUY0.8521903699$9.57
10-20 05:04Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 20?BUY0.7034482371$4.25
10-20 04:59Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ETBUY0.8$19.09
10-20 03:07Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETBUY0.86$19.78
10-20 02:52Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 20?BUY0.6665643309$29.58
10-20 02:43Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETBUY0.2100100887$9.46