A0A0A
0x40be599a6e7b50e7aacb593a6427d5fa06a3e067
- Realised P&L
- $-32.69
- Volume
- $3.8k
- Markets traded
- 128
- Open portfolio
- $181.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded128
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.07at 0.580Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$32.37at 0.170Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$11.00at 0.450Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on August 3?
- +$10.53at 0.610Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 4?
- +$9.84at 0.760Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 01:35 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.1025422962 | $1.10 |
| 08-07 01:35 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.4412832695 | $4.05 |
| 08-06 20:55 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.823 | $4.64 |
| 08-06 19:20 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.28 |
| 08-06 19:20 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.75 | $14.25 |
| 08-06 18:03 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.40 |
| 08-06 18:03 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.5099999264 | $2.08 |
| 08-06 17:52 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.39 | $0.09 |
| 08-06 17:52 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 16:30 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.2425300737 | $2.50 |
| 08-06 16:30 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.5001922798 | $5.10 |
| 08-06 13:01 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.68 | $11.56 |
| 08-06 09:57 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.41 | $1.23 |
| 08-06 09:57 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.46 | $1.38 |
| 08-06 08:14 | Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in August 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $6.00 |