GARITABTC
0x40b92d910b6180ac6a714fed73544fd25bfc4b04
- Realised P&L
- $-2.6k
- Volume
- $326.4k
- Markets traded
- 327
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded327
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? · Yes | 0.379 | 0.185 | $1.7k | −$1.8k |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.059 | $51.00 | −$9.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 26? · No | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$147.20 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 26? · No | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 1? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$306.09 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 16? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$539.99 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 31? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 23? · No | 0.279 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.22 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 26? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$148.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$694.30at 0.430Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 6?
- +$492.34at 0.328Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5?
- +$490.64at 0.518Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
- +$448.36at 0.460Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
- +$402.98at 0.328Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 03:43 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | BUY | 0.3499230116 | $1.3k |
| 09-02 22:28 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | BUY | 0.3896097698 | $1.0k |
| 08-31 16:18 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | BUY | 0.4071953604 | $1000.00 |
| 08-29 16:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 1? | SELL | 0.4929655172 | $714.80 |
| 08-26 22:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 1? | SELL | 0.32 | $592.00 |
| 08-26 15:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 26? | BUY | 0.4484125561 | $499.98 |
| 08-26 14:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 1? | BUY | 0.52 | $754.00 |
| 08-26 14:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 1? | BUY | 0.32 | $592.00 |
| 08-19 21:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 23? | BUY | 0.279 | $50.22 |
| 08-19 21:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 26? | BUY | 0.15 | $150.00 |
| 08-19 21:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 26? | BUY | 0.22 | $148.50 |
| 08-19 21:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 26? | BUY | 0.32 | $147.20 |
| 08-17 15:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 17? | SELL | 0.7459161819 | $1.6k |
| 08-12 04:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 18? | BUY | 0.47 | $470.00 |
| 08-11 09:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 17? | BUY | 0.54 | $585.90 |