PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x40ab34e72aefb480ff9d76bef29b56c8fa3792d8

Realised P&L
$-113.51
Volume
$28.8k
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$0.64

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration66.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-17 11:24Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?SELL0.003$0.62
03-30 08:29Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?SELL0.057$0.99
03-28 19:25Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?SELL0.056$0.29
03-23 17:25Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?SELL0.048$1.09
03-22 19:47Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?BUY0.0437506009$2.00
03-19 01:09Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?SELL0.033$1.03
03-15 19:43Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.0419999804$2.00
03-13 14:04Military action against Iran ends on March 28, 2026?SELL0.015$0.26
03-13 13:01Military action against Iran ends on March 31, 2026?SELL0.026$0.99
03-13 12:19Military action against Iran ends on March 31, 2026?SELL0.026$0.44
03-13 12:11Military action against Iran ends on March 31, 2026?SELL0.03$0.64
03-13 11:22Military action against Iran ends on March 31, 2026?BUY0.0259999876$2.00
03-13 11:21Military action against Iran ends on March 28, 2026?BUY0.027$2.00
03-13 11:06Military action against Iran ends on March 28, 2026?SELL0.0164596264$1.07
03-13 11:06Military action against Iran ends on March 28, 2026?BUY0.0259999876$2.00