0x40ab34e72aefb480ff9d76bef29b56c8fa3792d8
- Realised P&L
- $-113.51
- Volume
- $28.8k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $0.64
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.51at 0.065US strikes Iraq by February 28?
- +$7.20at 0.410Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
- +$3.80at 0.090Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?
- +$0.88at 0.085Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
- +$0.33at 0.101Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 6, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-17 11:24 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.62 |
| 03-30 08:29 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.057 | $0.99 |
| 03-28 19:25 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.056 | $0.29 |
| 03-23 17:25 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.048 | $1.09 |
| 03-22 19:47 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)? | BUY | 0.0437506009 | $2.00 |
| 03-19 01:09 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.033 | $1.03 |
| 03-15 19:43 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0419999804 | $2.00 |
| 03-13 14:04 | Military action against Iran ends on March 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.26 |
| 03-13 13:01 | Military action against Iran ends on March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.026 | $0.99 |
| 03-13 12:19 | Military action against Iran ends on March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.026 | $0.44 |
| 03-13 12:11 | Military action against Iran ends on March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.64 |
| 03-13 11:22 | Military action against Iran ends on March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0259999876 | $2.00 |
| 03-13 11:21 | Military action against Iran ends on March 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.027 | $2.00 |
| 03-13 11:06 | Military action against Iran ends on March 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.0164596264 | $1.07 |
| 03-13 11:06 | Military action against Iran ends on March 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.0259999876 | $2.00 |