PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

tomyyouth

0x40a68ed774f2b568582b04a46a4758281a493c1f

Realised P&L
$1.7k
Volume
$36.9k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$6.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration57.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.9100.925$2.8k+$45.00
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · Yes0.9610.978$2.7k+$46.20
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.6600.715$1.1k+$82.50
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? · No0.3500.215$93.63$58.79
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12? · No0.3700.000$0.00$388.87
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs · Iron Wing0.4120.000$0.00$1.8k
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs · Team Liquid0.3900.000$0.00$1.1k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-21 16:09Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?SELL0.7146048667$1.1k
08-20 20:51Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.42$420.00
08-14 01:28Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BUY0.441$88.20
06-18 19:14Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?BUY0.41$38.04