dingdongdooby
0x40a0bcc924729195673fabc52f1885b66ff0802d
- Realised P&L
- $-1.9k
- Volume
- $28.9k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $21.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.097 | 0.044 | $21.56 | −$26.14 |
| T20 World Cup: England vs India · England | 0.054 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$197.69 |
| Will New Zealand win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| T20 World Cup: India vs West Indies · West Indies | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$143.57at 0.030Over $50M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
- +$71.69at 0.125Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
- +$66.60at 0.730T20 World Cup: India vs Pakistan (Game 1)
- +$38.01at 0.324Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
- +$24.36at 0.450Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-26 23:24 | Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0973512162 | $47.70 |
| 03-26 23:23 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.22 | $44.00 |
| 03-17 14:54 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | SELL | 0.045 | $3.69 |
| 03-17 12:03 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $197.69 |
| 03-11 09:28 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.8865394548 | $159.34 |
| 03-11 09:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | SELL | 0.12 | $4.76 |
| 03-11 09:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $9.82 |
| 03-06 14:47 | Will India win? | SELL | 0.0690238278 | $12.57 |
| 03-05 17:11 | T20 World Cup: England vs India | BUY | 0.0539999835 | $3.00 |
| 03-05 17:09 | T20 World Cup: England vs India | SELL | 0.147 | $31.74 |
| 03-05 14:28 | Will India win? | BUY | 0.1647032266 | $30.00 |
| 03-05 14:27 | T20 World Cup: England vs India | BUY | 0.1111582808 | $24.00 |
| 03-01 22:00 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.2439999911 | $20.00 |
| 03-01 17:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET | SELL | 0.94 | $58.05 |
| 03-01 17:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $19.53 |