Chuggo1
0x409daa9d98e79850b02aa3402b056b170a8fd5ee
- Realised P&L
- $-47.48
- Volume
- $36.7k
- Markets traded
- 597
- Open portfolio
- $128.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded597
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.26at 0.870US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$13.65at 0.837Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
- +$13.32at 0.880US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
- +$10.23at 0.884Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?
- +$9.94at 0.904Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 06:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.979 | $124.61 |
| 10-01 06:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.971 | $4.85 |
| 09-28 06:11 | Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September? | BUY | 0.968 | $64.15 |
| 09-26 06:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September? | BUY | 0.986 | $121.29 |
| 09-25 06:07 | Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30? | BUY | 0.96 | $64.21 |
| 09-25 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.999 | $57.10 |
| 09-24 02:57 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.97 | $56.01 |
| 09-23 22:40 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 25? | BUY | 0.92 | $70.84 |
| 09-22 06:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.93 | $64.22 |
| 09-21 06:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.979 | $64.15 |
| 09-21 06:04 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.96 | $64.21 |
| 09-21 00:01 | Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes? | SELL | 0.951 | $9.56 |
| 09-21 00:00 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20? | SELL | 0.999 | $66.84 |
| 09-21 00:00 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m? | SELL | 0.803 | $16.06 |
| 09-19 06:10 | Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.95 | $64.21 |