2oxa
0x4098823d549df28b81d5f8cee209e90c5fdf403c
- Realised P&L
- $-70.80
- Volume
- $46.7k
- Markets traded
- 136
- Open portfolio
- $92.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded136
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 37M tonnes at end of November 2026? · No | 0.890 | 0.965 | $20.25 | +$1.56 |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 36M tonnes at end of October 2026? · No | 0.890 | 0.855 | $17.95 | −$0.73 |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of November 2026? · No | 0.860 | 0.810 | $17.01 | −$1.05 |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of November 2026? · No | 0.840 | 0.605 | $12.71 | −$4.93 |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026? · No | 0.870 | 0.400 | $10.00 | −$11.75 |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of November 2026? · No | 0.830 | 0.435 | $9.13 | −$8.29 |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026? · No | 0.860 | 0.265 | $5.57 | −$12.49 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$87.60at 0.270Will Deere Q2 revenue be above $12.5B?
- +$63.50at 0.090Will the price of Bitcoin be between $115K and $117K on August 6?
- +$63.41at 0.144Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$58.61at 0.805Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$25.38at 0.610NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 12:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30? | SELL | 0.93 | $23.25 |
| 07-30 01:09 | NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 30? | BUY | 0.6 | $39.00 |
| 07-30 01:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30? | BUY | 0.458 | $22.90 |
| 07-21 04:05 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.23876528 | $39.14 |
| 07-17 13:54 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.4261336624 | $22.44 |
| 07-11 13:15 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.79 | $79.00 |
| 07-10 09:09 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.86 | $86.00 |
| 07-10 09:06 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.1389440286 | $48.63 |
| 07-10 09:06 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 10? | BUY | 0.8 | $16.00 |
| 07-01 12:12 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 2? | SELL | 0.37 | $0.33 |
| 07-01 12:12 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 3? | SELL | 0.47 | $1.03 |
| 07-01 12:12 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 3? | SELL | 0.49 | $9.73 |
| 07-01 12:12 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 2? | SELL | 0.39 | $2.22 |
| 07-01 12:11 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 2? | SELL | 0.57 | $7.14 |
| 07-01 12:11 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 2? | SELL | 0.47 | $14.53 |