0x408e553c6315ee2a6eb11831cfd0f1bdfb437f78
0x408e553c6315ee2a6eb11831cfd0f1bdfb437f78
- Realised P&L
- $-67.87
- Volume
- $5.4k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $70.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 25? · No | 0.580 | 0.900 | $31.03 | +$11.03 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on September 25? · No | 0.680 | 0.720 | $21.18 | +$1.18 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 25? · Yes | 0.647 | 0.600 | $18.55 | −$1.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.43at 0.621Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$21.01at 0.506Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
- +$20.07at 0.260Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22?
- +$19.09at 0.638Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on September 22?
- +$18.63at 0.305Bitcoin Up or Down on September 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 12:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.6799999932 | $20.00 |
| 09-25 11:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.5799999936 | $20.00 |
| 09-25 10:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999927 | $20.00 |
| 09-25 10:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999927 | $20.00 |
| 09-25 10:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $20.00 |
| 09-25 10:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $20.00 |
| 09-25 09:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5299999883 | $20.00 |
| 09-25 08:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.6467661675 | $20.00 |
| 09-25 08:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.6599999954 | $20.00 |
| 09-24 20:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4PM ET | BUY | 0.508728173 | $20.00 |
| 09-24 20:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4PM ET | BUY | 0.3499999948 | $20.00 |
| 09-24 19:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 3PM ET | BUY | 0.0490918017 | $20.00 |
| 09-24 19:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 3PM ET | BUY | 0.669999995 | $20.00 |
| 09-24 19:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 3PM ET | BUY | 0.5221674849 | $20.00 |
| 09-24 16:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.709999998 | $50.00 |