ameiro
0x408d2db0626f5d16bc4f7c974702c63b6bfbaa38
- Realised P&L
- $-32.0k
- Volume
- $1.05M
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $5.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.8kat 0.514Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?
- +$5.5kat 0.611Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?
- +$4.8kat 0.719Ethereum Up or Down on May 13?
- +$2.3kat 0.729Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2000 on May 9?
- +$1.9kat 0.482Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 00:55 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.089 | $399.21 |
| 09-16 04:28 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.1074720465 | $184.85 |
| 09-16 04:23 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.1095197593 | $59.14 |
| 09-15 23:11 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.11035875 | $88.29 |
| 09-15 23:09 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.113 | $6.78 |
| 09-15 23:09 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.113 | $107.35 |
| 09-15 23:08 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.1126496667 | $675.90 |
| 05-18 14:22 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1407145257 | $3.1k |
| 05-18 14:14 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.166 | $1.3k |
| 04-12 14:00 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.098 | $71.50 |
| 04-12 14:00 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.812 | $576.52 |
| 03-18 21:34 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1168086677 | $9.81 |
| 03-18 21:33 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.188 | $131.76 |
| 03-18 21:23 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1179919094 | $364.60 |
| 03-18 21:22 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1169736234 | $327.55 |