PolyBot

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Traders

ameiro

0x408d2db0626f5d16bc4f7c974702c63b6bfbaa38

Realised P&L
$-32.0k
Volume
$1.05M
Markets traded
88
Open portfolio
$5.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded88
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1370.098$5.3k−$2.1k
Ethereum Up or Down on July 26? · Down0.0350.000$0.00−$174.36
Ethereum Up or Down - December 30, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET · Down0.4800.000$0.00−$492.55
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1? · Up0.0500.000$0.00−$24.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET · Down0.4830.000$0.00−$315.88
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET · Up0.4790.000$0.00−$914.57
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 9? · Down0.0300.000$0.00−$4.50
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 5? · Down0.4900.000$0.00−$301.63
Ethereum Up or Down on October 5? · Down0.0300.000$0.00−$986.44
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET · Up0.4790.000$0.00−$3.2k
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 1AM ET · Down0.4900.000$0.00−$347.87
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 27? · Down0.1880.000$0.00−$3.4k
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2? · Up0.2130.000$0.00−$2.6k
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 27? · Down0.1250.000$0.00−$5.1k
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? · Down0.0380.000$0.00−$117.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-07 00:55Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.089$399.21
09-16 04:28Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.1074720465$184.85
09-16 04:23Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.1095197593$59.14
09-15 23:11Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.11035875$88.29
09-15 23:09Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.113$6.78
09-15 23:09Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.113$107.35
09-15 23:08Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.1126496667$675.90
05-18 14:22Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1407145257$3.1k
05-18 14:14Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.166$1.3k
04-12 14:00Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.098$71.50
04-12 14:00Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.812$576.52
03-18 21:34Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1168086677$9.81
03-18 21:33Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.188$131.76
03-18 21:23Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1179919094$364.60
03-18 21:22Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1169736234$327.55