0x408a5e9E43A4Baf8D2B85713f79779aAAbAaaC7f-1772816335000
0x408a5e9e43a4baf8d2b85713f79779aaabaaac7f
- Realised P&L
- $-964.71
- Volume
- $93.0k
- Markets traded
- 143
- Open portfolio
- $75.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded143
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$203.93at 0.409Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
- +$194.05at 0.665Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
- +$191.25at 0.591Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
- +$178.78at 0.478Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
- +$132.18at 0.462Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 16:15 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.0555732992 | $58.00 |
| 10-08 10:52 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999966 | $40.42 |
| 09-25 14:47 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $15.00 |
| 09-25 13:56 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.02 |
| 09-24 16:51 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $29.90 |
| 09-24 05:35 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999997 | $55.39 |
| 09-23 19:05 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.2597163282 | $61.80 |
| 09-23 02:51 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.2432 | $3.65 |
| 09-22 14:01 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $0.16 |
| 09-22 09:00 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $65.88 |
| 09-22 06:16 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999997 | $95.48 |
| 09-22 04:25 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.45 | $0.05 |
| 09-22 00:09 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.51 | $53.56 |
| 09-21 19:22 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.4199999992 | $79.43 |
| 09-18 03:31 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $0.11 |