Jasonhan72
0x4089980498d7b24cb0830e48c4cd583c11fee7b2
- Realised P&L
- $-446.77
- Volume
- $31.5k
- Markets traded
- 719
- Open portfolio
- $18.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded719
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$97.97at 0.020Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 13?
- +$85.38at 0.552Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
- +$22.99at 0.080Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on May 1?
- +$22.77at 0.330Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 29?
- +$21.44at 0.282Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 9-15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 12:48 | Will two people dissent the September Fed decision? | SELL | 0.24 | $2.84 |
| 09-15 12:48 | Will one person dissent the September Fed decision? | SELL | 0.17 | $2.01 |
| 09-15 12:48 | Will no one dissent the September Fed decision? | SELL | 0.36 | $3.15 |
| 09-15 12:47 | Will four or more people dissent the September Fed decision? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.34 |
| 09-15 12:47 | Will three people dissent the September Fed decision? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.30 |
| 09-15 12:47 | Will two people dissent the September Fed decision? | BUY | 0.26 | $4.55 |
| 09-15 12:47 | Will one person dissent the September Fed decision? | BUY | 0.21 | $3.67 |
| 09-15 12:47 | Will no one dissent the September Fed decision? | BUY | 0.37 | $6.47 |
| 09-11 06:38 | Will Linke win at least 23% of all valid second votes? | SELL | 0.24 | $3.08 |
| 09-11 06:38 | Will Linke win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes? | SELL | 0.38 | $4.87 |
| 09-11 06:38 | Will Linke win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes? | SELL | 0.28 | $3.59 |
| 09-11 06:37 | Will Linke win at least 23% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.26 | $5.93 |
| 09-11 06:37 | Will Linke win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.38 | $8.67 |
| 09-11 06:37 | Will Linke win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.29 | $6.62 |
| 09-11 06:37 | Will Linke win less than 17% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.046 | $0.46 |