5Mexpert2026
0x408160507d91470d4d9342f1b9f332fc6a7a649b
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $71.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,224
- Open portfolio
- $3.68
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,224
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $2,300 October 26-November 1? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.135 | $1.54 | −$2.46 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 October 26-November 1? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.012 | $0.80 | −$0.20 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 26-November 1? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.060 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 26-November 1? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.003 | $0.33 | −$0.67 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 October 26-November 1? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.005 | $0.25 | −$0.75 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 October 26-November 1? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $0.25 | −$0.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$105.33at 0.190Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
- +$82.90at 0.170Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
- +$79.15at 0.297Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
- +$72.16at 0.599Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
- +$68.34at 0.631Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 15:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.0546809789 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 15:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 15:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 14:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 12:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 10:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 10:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | BUY | 0.1399999832 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 09:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 08:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 08:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 02:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 02:52 | Will Ethereum reach $2,300 October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 02:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET | BUY | 0.0461467467 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 02:42 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.0219047619 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 02:42 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |