Peter.YF
0x407910fd97c4f85179579e5d6c6196f1a1d27126
- Realised P&L
- $3.0k
- Volume
- $258.2k
- Markets traded
- 720
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded720
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.057Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on May 21?
- +$572.01at 0.780US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$283.01at 0.650Iran full airspace closure by August 15?
- +$211.69at 0.100Beijing Ducks vs. Shanghai Sharks
- +$192.00at 0.430Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 02:08 | NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30? | SELL | 0.022 | $4.46 |
| 09-17 02:08 | NATO downs another Russian drone by September 15? | SELL | 0.0319213759 | $3.64 |
| 09-17 02:08 | NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30? | SELL | 0.023 | $2.30 |
| 09-16 05:25 | Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | SELL | 0.8555555556 | $45.43 |
| 09-15 19:15 | Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | BUY | 0.9603960344 | $51.00 |
| 09-14 19:24 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.307571 | $30.76 |
| 09-14 19:04 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.7899999813 | $27.00 |
| 09-14 17:55 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? | BUY | 0.89 | $26.70 |
| 09-14 16:45 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.41 | $82.00 |
| 09-14 13:23 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | BUY | 0.5832387988 | $40.00 |
| 09-14 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.67 | $6.70 |
| 09-14 03:40 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $75.00 |
| 09-14 03:27 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | SELL | 0.987 | $4.93 |
| 09-14 02:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET | BUY | 0.9299999888 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 16:14 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.6599999979 | $50.00 |