Maeli
0x407041ce76967b9985f2ef829233f81977f955e5
- Realised P&L
- $-143.48
- Volume
- $898.97
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $6.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-16.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration41.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.045 | $6.00 | −$14.00 |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? · No | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$57.54 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? · No | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? · Yes | 0.327 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.75at 0.630Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?
- +$5.87at 0.630Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?
- +$5.87at 0.630Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?
- +$4.56at 0.777Assad public appearance before 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-12 00:38 | Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.149999994 | $20.00 |
| 03-12 00:37 | Iran leadership change by April 30? | BUY | 0.32 | $20.00 |
| 03-12 00:37 | Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? | BUY | 0.3268263726 | $40.00 |
| 03-12 00:36 | Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? | BUY | 0.229999997 | $57.54 |
| 03-12 00:36 | Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.1299999967 | $30.00 |
| 01-05 23:14 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | BUY | 0.6299999483 | $10.00 |
| 12-17 00:02 | Assad public appearance before 2025? | BUY | 0.7767305591 | $15.87 |
| 11-12 22:37 | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 11-11 00:06 | Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | BUY | 0.629999988 | $10.00 |
| 11-10 17:19 | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | BUY | 0.629999988 | $10.00 |
| 11-10 17:00 | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |