PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Maeli

0x407041ce76967b9985f2ef829233f81977f955e5

Realised P&L
$-143.48
Volume
$898.97
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$6.00

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-16.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration41.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? · Yes0.1500.045$6.00$14.00
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? · No0.2300.000$0.00$57.54
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? · No0.6300.000$0.00$10.00
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? · Yes0.3270.000$0.00$40.00
Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$30.00
Iran leadership change by April 30? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-12 00:38Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?BUY0.149999994$20.00
03-12 00:37Iran leadership change by April 30?BUY0.32$20.00
03-12 00:37Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?BUY0.3268263726$40.00
03-12 00:36Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?BUY0.229999997$57.54
03-12 00:36Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?BUY0.1299999967$30.00
01-05 23:14Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?BUY0.6299999483$10.00
12-17 00:02Assad public appearance before 2025?BUY0.7767305591$15.87
11-12 22:37Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?BUY0.64$10.00
11-11 00:06Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?BUY0.629999988$10.00
11-10 17:19Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?BUY0.629999988$10.00
11-10 17:00Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?BUY0.6199999864$10.00